Tuesday, November 26, 2013

Playoff Positioning - Week 12

WatchBlog here.

I got word from the Commish on the playoff seedings, so here are the playoff standings going into the last week of the regular season.  In a nutshell, 5 teams have clinched, and 2 teams are vying for the last playoff spot.  Playoff positioning is still to be determined by next week's regular season finale.

Let's get to it.

The Gamers - have clinched the playoffs, and can clinch the first playoff seed with a win or a Gliders loss. Technically - the Gamers could lose the division with a loss and a win by Amy's Excellent Team, but only if they outscore the Gamers in week 13 by 195 points.  So realistically, The Gamers are secured at least a second seed. 

Sugar Gliders - have clinched the playoffs and their division. They have secured the 2nd seed at worst, and can still claim the top seed, but only with a win and a Gamers' loss.

Got Time for 'Dis? - has clinched a playoff spot, and the division, and is locked into the 3rd seed.  (Previous post mistakenly ignored 'Dis had head to head tiebreaker advantage.)

Amy's Excellent Team - has clinched the playoffs and secured the 4th seed.  Only a miracle point total in week 13 that would make up a 195 deficit to The Gamers combined with a win by the A Team and a loss by The Gamers could change that. 

Whatever - has clinched the playoffs and will likely be the 5th seed.  However, if the Chickens win, and Whatever loses, Whatever would slip to the 6th seed.

Dreaming Chickens - need a win this week or a 49er loss to clinch the playoffs. (Previous post mistakenly said Chickens could still win division - they cannot.) If they win, they will either be a 5th or 6th seed, depending on Whatever.  If the Chickens win and Whatever loses, The Chickens take the 5th seed, but if not, the Chickens get the 6th.  For the Chickens, they could either be out altogether, or the 5th or 6th seed, depending on how everything else falls.

Fake 49ers - pretty simple, they need a win and a Chickens' loss, or their season is done.  They can only get the 6th seed if they get in.

The Benders - eliminated.  Difficult schedule did them in.

MotherBoy - eliminated.  Still.

Quail Hunters - eliminated.  No 3-peat for the Hunters.

tmititw - eliminated.  Definitely the most interesting draft strategy in the world.  At least they stayed out of last.

Cow Pokes - eliminated. Probably selecting waiver wire pick ups right now. 


Playoff Standings



Rank Team Division DivChmp H2H Tie Breaker over Total Pts Wins
1 *Gmrs (GM) SCB
DC, DS, CP, TB, QH, SG, TW 1234.98 10
2 *Gldrs (SG) 3CJ Yes DS, DC, TW, MB, QH, AT, CP 1120.88 10
3 *Dis (DS)  4CP Yes TB, 49, CP, DC 1014.68 7
4 *Amys (AT) SCB
MB, CP, TB, WE, QH, 49 1040.42 9
5 *Ever (WE) 3CJ
QH, MB, GM, DS, 49 1091.30 7
6 Chkn (DC) 4CP
AT, TW, TB, WE  1087.78 6
7 49rs (49) SCB
QH, MB, DC, CP 1077.26 5
8 ^^Bdr (TB) 3CJ
49, MB 1048.82 4
9 ^^Boy (MB) 4CP
CP, TW 1002.16 4
10 ^^Hntrs (QH) 4CP
CP, TW 957.78 4
11 ^^titw (TW) SCB
CP, TB, DS 919.70 4
12 ^^Pkes (CP) 3CJ

896.68 2

*clinched playoffs
^^eliminated from playoffs


WatchBlog out.

Sunday, November 24, 2013

Bonus Quick Hit

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In analyzing the playoff possibilities, WatchBlog had two quick statistical observations through week 11:

1. In all 6 games last week, which were rematches from Week 1, the team who lost the first game, won the second.

2.  Looking at draft order, the 3 teams at the top of the draft, The Benders, Fake 49ers, and MotherBoy, are all currently out of the playoffs, while the bottom 4, Dreaming Chickens, Sugar Gliders, The Gamers, and Got Time for 'Dis? are division or co-division leaders.

Crazy stuff, if you're into that kind of thing.

WatchBlog out.