Week 12 - Monday in Review

WatchBlog here.  No games left to discuss, so will try to sort out the playoff possibilities.  Let's get to it.

The Commish has weighed in on the tiebreakers, and we know after head to head, total points will be the next tiebreaker.  What is unclear is how head to head will be determined when more than 2 teams are tied (which will almost certainly happen.)  Here's WatchBlog's best guess on where the teams stand:

Sugar Gliders - Clinched Div and number 1 seed in playoffs
Honey Badger - Clinched Div and number 2 seed in playoffs
Quail Hunters - Clinched playoffs.  Needs a win to clinch number 3 seed (Holds head to head tiebreaker vs. Fielders and 129.04 point advantage over Pokes, but trails the Fielders by 73.42)
Left Fielders - Needs a win to clinch playoffs or a loss by 2 of the following: Offensives, Boy, 47ers.  (Holds head to head tiebreaker over Boy & Offensives, and 202.46 pt advantage over Pokes, 36.92 pt advantage over Boy, 42.72 pt advantage over Offensives, 138 pt advantage over 47ers and 73.42 pt advantage over Hunters.)
Cow Pokes - Needs a win to clinch playoffs or a loss by the Offensives and 47ers.  (Holds head to head tiebreaker over 47ers, and trails Fielders by 202.46, Boy by 165.54, Offensives by 159.74, Hunters by 129.04, and 47ers by 64.46 in total points)
MotherBoy - Needs a win over Pokes and losses by Offensives and 47ers to clinch playoffs without a multi-team tiebreaker. In loss to Pokes, would need losses by Offensives and 47ers  and then win a multi-team tiebreaker.  (Holds head to head tiebreaker over Gamers and Hottez and advantage over Offensives by 5.8, 47ers by 101.08, Pokes by 165.54, Gamers by 202.18, and Hottez by 250.88 in total points)
Easily Offensive - Needs a win and losses by Boy and 47ers to clinch playoffs without a multi-team tiebreaker.  In a loss, would need losses by Boy and 47ers, and then win a multi-team tiebreaker.  (Holds head to head tiebreaker over Pokes, and trails Boy by 5.8, and leads 47ers by 95.26, Pokes by 159.74, Gamers by 196.38, and Hottez by 245.08 in total points)
47ers - Needs a win and losses by Boy and Offensives to clinch playoffs without a multi-team tiebreaker.  In a loss, would need losses by Boy and Offensives, and then win a multi-team tiebreaker.  (Holds head to head tiebreaker over Boy and Offensives, and trails Boy by 101.08, and Offensives by 95.26, and leads Pokes by 64.48, Gamers by 101.12, and Hottez by 149.82 in total points)
The Gamers - Needs a win and losses by Boy, Offensives, and 47ers, and then win a multi-team tiebreaker.  (Leads Hottez by 48.70, and trails Boy by 202.18, Offensives by 196.38, and 47ers by 101.12 in total points)
Hottez wit da bodiez - Needs a win and losses by Boy, Offensivs, and 47ers, and then win a multi-team tiebreaker.  (Holds head to head tiebreaker over 47ers, and trails Gamers by 48.70,  Boy by 250.88, Offensives by 245.08, and 47ers by 149.82 in total points)


Coach Ratings - Week 12

Rank	Team	Actual	Optimal	Percentage
1	Easily Offensive	90.00	90.00	100.00%
2	Left Fielders	133.14	140.64	94.67%
3	47ers	112.14	118.94	94.28%
4	Sugar Gliders	116.22	124.62	93.26%
5	Cow Pokes	60.26	74.26	81.15%
6	Hottez wit da bodiez	74.60	105.30	70.85%
7	Honey Badger	84.32	120.44	70.01%
8	The Gamers	86.34	127.84	67.54%
9	MotherBoy	61.92	96.12	64.42%
10	Quail Hunters	59.78	101.98	58.62%

WatchBlog Power Rankings - through week 12

Rank	Team	Record	Points	Breakdown	Power	Actual Wins	Points Scored	Bkdown Wins
1	Sugar Gliders	10	10	10	30	10	1175.66	76
2	Left Fielders	6	9	9	24	6	1146.86	69
3	Quail Hunters	8	6	7	21	7	1073.44	60
4	Honey Badger	9	4	6	19	8	1002.32	56
4	MotherBoy	3	8	8	19	5	1109.94	68
6	Easily Off.	3	7	5	15	5	1104.14	52
7	Cow Pokes	6	3	4	13	6	944.40	45
8	47ers	3	5	3	11	5	1008.86	44
9	The Gamers	1	2	1	4	4	907.76	35
10	Hottez...bodiez	1	1	1	3	4	859.06	35

Current Playoff Standings

Rank	Team	Division	DivChmp	H2H Tie Breaker over	Total Pts	Wins
1	**^Gldr (SG)	5C	yes	HZ, LF, CP, 47, GM, MB	1175.66	10
2	**Bdgr (HB)	3CBC	yes	EO, HZ, QH, MB, CP	1002.32	8
3	*Hntrs (QH)	5C		LF, MB, GM	1073.44	7
4	Fldrs (LF)	5C		EO, MB, HB, GM	1146.86	6
4	Pkes (CB)	5C		47, GM, HZ	944.40	6
6	Boy (MB)	3CBC		GM, HZ	1109.94	5
6	Offs (EO)	3CBC		CP, SG	1104.14	5
6	47rs (47)	5C		MB, HB, EO	1008.86	5
9	Gmrs (GM)	3CBC		HB	907.76	4
9	Httz (HZ)	3CBC		47, QH	859.06	4

*Clinched a playoff berth
**Clinched division and 1st round BYE
^Clinched number 1 seed throughout playoffs


WatchBlog out.

Week 12 - Sunday in Review

WatchBlog here.  Well, quite a mess we have here.  Let's get to it.

At least they're consistent

The Sugar Gliders and MotherBoy faced off, in what was expected as a battle between two titans earlier in the season.  However, while the Gliders have lived up to their billing, MotherBoy has lately been as dainty a foe as their new moniker might suggest.  On a 5 game losing streak, Gary "First David caught me, and now Jerry - and I thought losing to Andrew was embarrassing..." Cook is on the very real verge of missing the playoffs altogether.  Shoshana "If I win it all, I'm done.  Can't go anywhere but down from here" Cook has secured her place as the top seed, and will sit and wait until week 15 to have another meaningful game.  After next week, MotherBoy will likely have to wait a whole year to see one.

You've got to be kidding me

So all the Quail Hunters needed to keep their hopes alive of winning their division was to beat the impossible to lose to Hottez wit da bodiez.  Perhaps they knew the Gliders were playing the impossible to lose to MotherBoy, so they just threw in the towel.  Whatever the reason, despite the Hottez only having 4 scoring players vs. the Hunters' 8, they have won this game with a player still yet to take the field tonight.  Amanda "Perhaps I'll chill on the trash talking this week" Cook left a lot of points on the bench, and needs a win next week (or a Fielders and Pokes loss) to clinch the top seeded wildcard team.  Lauren "Wait, this Fantasy Basketball thing is still going?" Cook has managed her 4th win of the season, and could possibly pull into a tie for 6th place.  Given her last place point total, a points tiebreaker would eventually knock her out.  But since it's theoretically possible for her to score 300 points in week 13, I guess Watchblog was premature in announcing her as eliminated.  But come on, we all thought the same thing...

And yet...

The Honey Badger has 1 more player to play tonight, but without those points, they are currently sitting as the 7th highest scoring team in the league - and yet... they have the 2nd best record in the league, and have clinched their first appearance in the CFFFL playoffs.  The Badger hasn't made a single transaction since week 1, and yet... the teams they have beaten out for the best record have combined to make 97 transactions.  The Badger hasn't made a roster move since week 6, and yet... they have won half of all their games played during that time period, most of them BYE weeks.  Andrew "Granddad, you've made 32 transactions, so that's something" Cook is winning through less, and looks to keep it going.  The Cow Pokes are another story, as their constant lineup changes and waiver acquisitions are the most consistent thing about them.  Now at 6-6, a loss next week to MotherBoy could end their season.  Norman "can I still make transactions even though I've been eliminated?" Cook will clinch with a win.  Luckily he's playing a team that hasn't won since week 7.

Look who's still in it, too

If the Hottez are still in it with 4 wins, then that means so are The Gamers - this despite getting trounced by the Left Fielders in week 12.  With a win against the 47ers next week, and losses by Easily Offensive and MotherBoy, The Gamers will pull into a tie for 6th place, and the final playoff spot.  They would have a head to head tiebreaker over the 47ers, but their poor point total would probably be what knocks them out of contention.  But hey, score enough points, and even Durlon "More WiFi please!"is still in this thing!  As for the Left Fielders, they only need a win next week vs. the Hottez to clinch.  Not sure how they couldn't get in even with a loss, since they own the head to head vs. 2 of the 3 teams able to catch them, but, as WatchBlog said, they are playing the Hottez, so it's really a moot question.  Cindy "Moot, really?  Do you not read your own Blogs - like this one for example?" Cook currently has a 64 point lead over the Hunters, so a 3-way tie with them and the Cow Pokes could mean the Fielders take over the #1 wildcard seed.

The wrench has been thrown

Had the 47ers lost to Easily Offensive, the playoff picture would be much clearer.  All 4 win teams would be out, and only 1 team would be eliminated next week.  But because of the 47ers win, all teams are still in it, and 4 will be eliminated based on next weeks' results.  Easily Offensive lost their mojo when they lost 2 of their key trade acquisitions to injury, and as a result had to replace the best TE in the league and one of the best WRs.  David "I may have lost, but at least I did it from Ireland" Cook will now have to win, and get help to make it into the playoffs.  The good thing for him is that he has pulled within 6 points of MotherBoy in total points, so he might gain the total point tiebreaker advantage in a multi-team tie.  Amazingly, the 47ers and Jerry "I'd have won this game with Eli, too" Cook have gone from a WatchBlog death declaration to what a appears to be the drivers seat.  With head to head advantages against both MotherBoy and Easily Offensive, the only thing muddying the water is a head to head disadvantage against the CowPokes.  WatchBlog has spoken with the Commissioner prior to this weeks game, but it is unclear what the tiebreaker is after head to head, but WatchBlog suspects it will be total points, especially if the tie includes teams from both divisions.  More playoff info as it comes available.

WatchBlog out.